Spartak Medzevvs
MSK Tesla Stropkov
COMPLETEDSlovakia · 3. liga - East · 10/17/2026, 12:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Spartak Medzev · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Spartak Medzev 3-1 MSK Tesla Stropkov
Original prediction
Spartak Medzev
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 17 September 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.38 | 37.6% | 44.8% | 7.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.52 | 25.4% | 22.8% | -2.6 pts |
| Away | 2.42 | 37.0% | 32.4% | -4.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.38 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–27%
Predicted outcome
Spartak Medzev
Probability
44.8%
Model confidence
44.8%
Spartak Medzev has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 10 · avg 2.00/2.00
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00