GGOALVIO

Spartak Kostroma logoSpartak KostromavsVolga Ulyanovsk logoVolga Ulyanovsk

COMPLETED

Russia · Second League A - Division A Gold · 7/30/2023, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Spartak Kostroma are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLLDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Volga Ulyanovsk are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Volga Ulyanovsk hold an 11.8-point power-rating edge (36.7 v 48.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.2% in the Second League A - Division A Gold, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 21% BTTS chance and 13% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

48.2%

Model confidence

48.2%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Spartak KostromaDLLDL

GF 5 · GA 13 · avg 1.00/2.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Volga UlyanovskWWLWW

GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Spartak KostromaVolga Ulyanovsk
24.1Attack27.8
53.7Defence66.7
24.1Form42.6
36.7Power48.5
0.50xG0.73
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