GGOALVIO

Russia · Second League A - Division A Gold · 7/16/2023, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Spartak Kostroma are 0W-1D-2L in their last 3 (LDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 3.33 conceded, while Irtysh Omsk are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDWWD), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 8 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Irtysh Omsk hold a 12.5-point power-rating edge (36.7 v 49.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.4% in the Second League A - Division A Gold, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 19% BTTS chance and 11% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

49.4%

Model confidence

49.4%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Spartak KostromaLDL

GF 3 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/3.33

BTTS 2/3O2.5 2/3
Irtysh OmskLDWWD

GF 11 · GA 9 · avg 2.20/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Spartak KostromaIrtysh Omsk
24.1Attack27.8
53.7Defence72.2
24.1Form42.6
36.7Power49.2
0.41xG0.73
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