Spartak Kostromavs
Irtysh Omsk
COMPLETEDRussia · Second League A - Division A Gold · 7/16/2023, 12:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Spartak Kostroma are 0W-1D-2L in their last 3 (LDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 3.33 conceded, while Irtysh Omsk are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDWWD), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 8 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Irtysh Omsk hold a 12.5-point power-rating edge (36.7 v 49.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.4% in the Second League A - Division A Gold, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 19% BTTS chance and 11% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
49.4%
Model confidence
49.4%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/3.33
GF 11 · GA 9 · avg 2.20/1.80