Sparta Rotterdamvs
PEC Zwolle
COMPLETEDNetherlands · Eredivisie · 9/4/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sparta Rotterdam · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Sparta Rotterdam 2-2 PEC Zwolle
Original prediction
Sparta Rotterdam
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:11 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.94 | 48.4% | 49.4% | 1.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.76 | 25.0% | 24.1% | -0.9 pts |
| Away | 3.54 | 26.6% | 26.5% | -0.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.76 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–08%
Predicted outcome
Sparta Rotterdam
Probability
49.4%
Model confidence
49.4%
Sparta Rotterdam has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
GF 4 · GA 11 · avg 0.80/2.20