Sparta Rotterdamvs
AZ Alkmaar
SCHEDULEDNetherlands · Eredivisie · 11/22/2026, 1:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
AZ Alkmaar · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-3 (9%), 1-2 (8%), 1-4 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction details
Prediction record created 23 October 2026 at 01:33 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–39%
- 2.1–28%
- 3.1–48%
Predicted outcome
AZ Alkmaar
Probability
73.2%
Model confidence
73.2%
AZ Alkmaar has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Sparta RotterdamWDLLD
GF 9 · GA 15 · avg 1.80/3.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
AZ AlkmaarWDWLW
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Sparta RotterdamAZ Alkmaar
59.3Attack74.1
18.5Defence63.0
33.3Form74.1
39.3Power70.8
1.34xG3.45