Sparta Rotterdam IIvs
Katwijk
COMPLETEDNetherlands · Tweede Divisie · 9/12/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sparta Rotterdam II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (8%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Sparta Rotterdam II 2-2 Katwijk
Original prediction
Sparta Rotterdam II
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.65 | 34.1% | 38.5% | 4.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.95 | 22.9% | 23.9% | 1.0 pts |
| Away | 2.10 | 43.0% | 37.6% | -5.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.95 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.2–18%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Sparta Rotterdam II
Probability
38.5%
Model confidence
38.5%
Sparta Rotterdam II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 17 · GA 13 · avg 3.40/2.60
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00