Sparta Rotterdam IIvs
Hoek
COMPLETEDNetherlands · Tweede Divisie · 9/26/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sparta Rotterdam II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (9%), 1-1 (8%), 3-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Sparta Rotterdam II 3-0 Hoek
Original prediction
Sparta Rotterdam II
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 05:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.49 | 36.2% | 49.0% | 12.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.92 | 23.0% | 21.6% | -1.4 pts |
| Away | 2.21 | 40.8% | 29.5% | -11.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.49 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
12.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–19%
- 2.1–18%
- 3.3–17%
Predicted outcome
Sparta Rotterdam II
Probability
49.0%
Model confidence
49.0%
Sparta Rotterdam II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 11 · avg 2.40/2.20
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60