GGOALVIO

Netherlands · Tweede Divisie · 8/29/2026, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

HHC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (8%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Sparta Rotterdam II 1-3 HHC

Original prediction

HHC

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:55 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.4736.5%37.4%0.9 pts
Draw3.8723.3%24.9%1.6 pts
Away2.2440.2%37.7%-2.5 pts

Historical EV

1X2 1.24 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-2.5 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–110%
  2. 2.2–18%
  3. 3.1–28%

Predicted outcome

HHC

Probability

37.7%

Model confidence

37.7%

HHC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sparta Rotterdam IIWWLLD

GF 17 · GA 12 · avg 3.40/2.40

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
HHCWWDWD

GF 12 · GA 8 · avg 2.40/1.60

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Sparta Rotterdam IIHHC
100.0Attack83.3
33.3Defence66.7
100.0Form100.0
81.3Power86.5
1.86xG1.83
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