Sparta Rotterdam IIvs
Almere City II
COMPLETEDNetherlands · Tweede Divisie · 10/10/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sparta Rotterdam II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-1 (7%), 3-2 (7%), 4-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Sparta Rotterdam II 1-4 Almere City II
Original prediction
Sparta Rotterdam II
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 06:32 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.82 | 49.8% | 59.7% | 9.9 pts |
| Draw | 4.27 | 21.2% | 17.6% | -3.6 pts |
| Away | 3.13 | 28.9% | 22.6% | -6.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
9.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–17%
- 2.3–27%
- 3.4–17%
Predicted outcome
Sparta Rotterdam II
Probability
59.7%
Model confidence
59.7%
Sparta Rotterdam II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60
GF 9 · GA 13 · avg 1.80/2.60