Sparta Praha Wvs
Farul Constanţa W
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Europa Cup - Women · 9/23/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sparta Praha W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (10%), 2-1 (10%), 1-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Sparta Praha W 4-1 Farul Constanţa W
Original prediction
Sparta Praha W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 9 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.06 | 85.5% | 57.4% | -28.0 pts |
| Draw | 9.09 | 10.0% | 22.4% | 12.5 pts |
| Away | 19.83 | 4.6% | 20.1% | 15.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.06 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-28.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–010%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.1–19%
Predicted outcome
Sparta Praha W
Probability
57.4%
Model confidence
57.4%
Sparta Praha W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 8 · avg 2.80/1.60
GF 49 · GA 4 · avg 9.80/0.80