Sparta Prahavs
Vysočina Jihlava
COMPLETEDWorld · Friendlies Clubs · 10/2/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sparta Praha · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (7%), 2-2 (7%), 3-1 (6%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Sparta Praha 5-3 Vysočina Jihlava
Original prediction
Sparta Praha
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 29 September 2026 at 09:23 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.28 | 71.0% | 49.8% | -21.1 pts |
| Draw | 5.46 | 16.7% | 23.4% | 6.7 pts |
| Away | 7.37 | 12.3% | 26.8% | 14.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.28 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-21.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–17%
- 2.2–27%
- 3.3–16%
Predicted outcome
Sparta Praha
Probability
49.8%
Model confidence
49.8%
Sparta Praha has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 15 · GA 3 · avg 3.00/0.60
GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20