Sparta Prahavs
Slovácko
COMPLETEDCzech-Republic · Czech Liga · 10/25/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sparta Praha · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Projected score: Sparta Praha 2-0 Slovácko, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Sparta Praha 5-1 Slovácko
Original prediction
Sparta Praha
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 16:55 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.26 | 73.0% | 70.0% | -3.0 pts |
| Draw | 5.47 | 16.8% | 18.3% | 1.4 pts |
| Away | 9.00 | 10.2% | 11.8% | 1.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.26 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.0 pts
Projected Score
Sparta Praha 2–0 Slovácko
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Sparta Praha
Probability
70.0%
Model confidence
70.0%
Sparta Praha has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Sparta PrahaLDDWW
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
SlováckoLWDWL
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Sparta PrahaSlovácko
60.6Attack30.3
63.6Defence45.5
57.6Form21.2
59.5Power34.6
2.30xG0.56