Sparta Prahavs
Slavia Praha
COMPLETEDCzech-Republic · Czech Liga · 8/30/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Slavia Praha · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Sparta Praha 0-3 Slavia Praha
Original prediction
Slavia Praha
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.72 | 34.1% | 35.6% | 1.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.38 | 27.4% | 25.1% | -2.3 pts |
| Away | 2.40 | 38.5% | 39.3% | 0.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.40 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Slavia Praha
Probability
39.3%
Model confidence
39.3%
Slavia Praha has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40
GF 14 · GA 5 · avg 2.80/1.00