GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 11/30/2023, 5:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Real Betis · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Sparta Praha are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Real Betis are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Real Betis hold a 9.7-point power-rating edge (45.1 v 54.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.4% in the UEFA Europa League, while Real Betis holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 70% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Real Betis

Probability

43.4%

Model confidence

43.4%

Real Betis has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sparta PrahaWWLWW

GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Real BetisWDWWW

GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Sparta PrahaReal Betis
61.1Attack50.0
27.8Defence61.1
44.4Form50.0
45.1Power54.8
1.65xG2.01
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