GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 10/26/2023, 4:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Sparta Praha · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Sparta Praha are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Rangers are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Sparta Praha hold an 8.7-point power-rating edge (45.1 v 36.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.6% in the UEFA Europa League, while Sparta Praha holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 72% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Sparta Praha

Probability

41.6%

Model confidence

41.6%

Sparta Praha has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sparta PrahaWWLWW

GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
RangersWWLLW

GF 13 · GA 5 · avg 2.60/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 5/5
Sparta PrahaRangers
61.1Attack33.3
27.8Defence50.0
44.4Form16.7
45.1Power36.5
2.00xG1.74
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