GGOALVIO

Czech-Republic · Czech Liga · 8/5/2023, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Sparta Praha · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Sparta Praha are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDD), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Pardubice are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLWL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Sparta Praha hold a 16.1-point power-rating edge (39.0 v 22.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.0% in the Czech Liga, while Sparta Praha holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Sparta Praha

Probability

47.0%

Model confidence

47.0%

Sparta Praha has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sparta PrahaWWWDD

GF 11 · GA 2 · avg 2.20/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
PardubiceDLLWL

GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Sparta PrahaPardubice
44.4Attack22.2
33.3Defence33.3
33.3Form0.0
39.0Power22.9
1.73xG1.16
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