GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 3/7/2024, 5:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Liverpool · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-3

Highconfidence

Sparta Praha are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Liverpool are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Liverpool hold a 27.0-point power-rating edge (45.1 v 72.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 69.1% in the UEFA Europa League, while Liverpool holds the strongest overall chance at 69% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 74% BTTS chance and 84% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Liverpool

Probability

69.1%

Model confidence

69.1%

Liverpool has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sparta PrahaDWWWW

GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
LiverpoolWWWWW

GF 13 · GA 3 · avg 2.60/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Sparta PrahaLiverpool
61.1Attack96.7
27.8Defence60.0
44.4Form70.0
45.1Power72.1
1.46xG3.43
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