GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 2/22/2024, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Sparta Praha · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2

Highconfidence

Sparta Praha are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Galatasaray are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Sparta Praha hold a 2.5-point power-rating edge (45.1 v 42.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.2% in the UEFA Europa League, while Sparta Praha holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 78% BTTS chance and 79% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Sparta Praha

Probability

39.2%

Model confidence

39.2%

Sparta Praha has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sparta PrahaWLWWW

GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
GalatasarayWWWWW

GF 12 · GA 3 · avg 2.40/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Sparta PrahaGalatasaray
61.1Attack66.7
27.8Defence0.0
44.4Form50.0
45.1Power42.7
2.17xG2.07
View match centre →