Sparta Prahavs
Galatasaray
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Europa League · 2/22/2024, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sparta Praha · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2
Sparta Praha are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Galatasaray are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Sparta Praha hold a 2.5-point power-rating edge (45.1 v 42.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.2% in the UEFA Europa League, while Sparta Praha holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 78% BTTS chance and 79% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Sparta Praha
Probability
39.2%
Model confidence
39.2%
Sparta Praha has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00
GF 12 · GA 3 · avg 2.40/0.60