Sparta Prahavs
FK Jablonec
COMPLETEDCzech-Republic · Czech Liga · 9/12/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sparta Praha · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Sparta Praha 2-0 FK Jablonec
Original prediction
Sparta Praha
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:11 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.55 | 59.7% | 44.5% | -15.2 pts |
| Draw | 4.08 | 22.7% | 25.0% | 2.3 pts |
| Away | 5.25 | 17.6% | 30.6% | 12.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.55 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-15.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–08%
Predicted outcome
Sparta Praha
Probability
44.5%
Model confidence
44.5%
Sparta Praha has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 6 · avg 2.80/1.20
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00