GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 8/31/2023, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Sparta Praha · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2

Highconfidence

Sparta Praha are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLDDW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Dinamo Zagreb are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWDLD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 45.1 against 45.8. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.7% in the UEFA Europa League, while Sparta Praha holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 78% BTTS chance and 79% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Sparta Praha

Probability

38.7%

Model confidence

38.7%

Sparta Praha has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sparta PrahaWLDDW

GF 13 · GA 9 · avg 2.60/1.80

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Dinamo ZagrebWWDLD

GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Sparta PrahaDinamo Zagreb
61.1Attack66.7
27.8Defence16.7
44.4Form50.0
45.1Power45.8
2.16xG2.08
View match centre →