Sparta Prahavs
AZ Alkmaar
SCHEDULEDWorld · UEFA Europa League · 11/26/2026, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
AZ Alkmaar · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-2 (7%), 1-2 (7%), 1-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction details
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 18:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–27%
- 2.1–27%
- 3.1–17%
Predicted outcome
AZ Alkmaar
Probability
46.6%
Model confidence
46.6%
AZ Alkmaar has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Sparta PrahaWWLLW
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
AZ AlkmaarWWWWW
GF 14 · GA 4 · avg 2.80/0.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Sparta PrahaAZ Alkmaar
61.1Attack58.3
27.8Defence47.2
44.4Form50.0
45.1Power53.5
2.04xG2.36