Sparta Prahavs
Aris
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Europa League · 9/21/2023, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sparta Praha · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2
Sparta Praha are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Aris are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWWL), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Sparta Praha hold a 5.6-point power-rating edge (45.1 v 39.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.8% in the UEFA Europa League, while Sparta Praha holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 83% BTTS chance and 85% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Sparta Praha
Probability
45.8%
Model confidence
45.8%
Sparta Praha has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 15 · GA 5 · avg 3.00/1.00
GF 15 · GA 6 · avg 3.00/1.20