Sparta Praha U19vs
Mladá Boleslav U19
COMPLETEDCzech-Republic · 1. Liga U19 · 9/25/2026, 9:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Mladá Boleslav U19 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-3 (7%), 1-3 (6%), 2-4 (6%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Sparta Praha U19 2-0 Mladá Boleslav U19
Original prediction
Mladá Boleslav U19
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 8 September 2026 at 09:50 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.96 | 45.5% | 30.2% | -15.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.90 | 22.9% | 19.9% | -3.1 pts |
| Away | 2.84 | 31.5% | 49.9% | 18.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
18.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–37%
- 2.1–36%
- 3.2–46%
Predicted outcome
Mladá Boleslav U19
Probability
49.9%
Model confidence
49.9%
Mladá Boleslav U19 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 15 · avg 1.80/3.00
GF 13 · GA 10 · avg 2.60/2.00