Sparta Praha IIvs
Písek
COMPLETEDCzech-Republic · 3. liga - CFL A · 10/25/2026, 9:15:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sparta Praha II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-0 (11%), 2-0 (10%), 4-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Sparta Praha II 0-1 Písek
Original prediction
Sparta Praha II
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 7 October 2026 at 22:42 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.39 | 64.6% | 77.0% | 12.4 pts |
| Draw | 4.56 | 19.7% | 13.5% | -6.2 pts |
| Away | 5.70 | 15.7% | 9.5% | -6.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
12.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–011%
- 2.2–010%
- 3.4–09%
Predicted outcome
Sparta Praha II
Probability
77.0%
Model confidence
77.0%
Sparta Praha II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 3 · avg 2.20/0.60
GF 7 · GA 14 · avg 1.40/2.80