Sparta Praha IIvs
Dukla Praha II
COMPLETEDCzech-Republic · 3. liga - CFL A · 10/11/2026, 8:15:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sparta Praha II · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (14%), 3-0 (12%), 1-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Sparta Praha II 2-1 Dukla Praha II
Original prediction
Sparta Praha II
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 7 October 2026 at 22:42 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.20 | 74.8% | 60.9% | -13.9 pts |
| Draw | 5.80 | 15.5% | 21.5% | 6.0 pts |
| Away | 9.21 | 9.8% | 17.5% | 7.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.20 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-13.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–014%
- 2.3–012%
- 3.1–010%
Predicted outcome
Sparta Praha II
Probability
60.9%
Model confidence
60.9%
Sparta Praha II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 2 · avg 2.60/0.40
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60