Sparta Praha IIvs
Bohemians 1905 II
COMPLETEDCzech-Republic · 3. liga - CFL A · 9/13/2026, 8:15:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sparta Praha II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (9%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Sparta Praha II 4-1 Bohemians 1905 II
Original prediction
Sparta Praha II
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.29 | 69.5% | 50.1% | -19.4 pts |
| Draw | 4.93 | 18.2% | 23.9% | 5.7 pts |
| Away | 7.31 | 12.3% | 25.9% | 13.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.29 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-19.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Sparta Praha II
Probability
50.1%
Model confidence
50.1%
Sparta Praha II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80
GF 5 · GA 14 · avg 1.00/2.80