GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Nordost-Nord · 8/30/2026, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Sparta Lichtenberg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Lowconfidence

Sparta Lichtenberg are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWLW), averaging 2.40 scored and 2.20 conceded, while BAK '07 are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLLWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Sparta Lichtenberg hold a 7.9-point power-rating edge (61.7 v 53.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 8.3% in the Oberliga - Nordost-Nord, while Sparta Lichtenberg holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 75% BTTS chance and 77% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Sparta Lichtenberg

Probability

49.9%

Model confidence

8.3%

Sparta Lichtenberg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sparta LichtenbergDLWLW

GF 12 · GA 11 · avg 2.40/2.20

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
BAK '07DLLWD

GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Sparta LichtenbergBAK '07
85.1Attack55.6
42.5Defence58.9
60.9Form48.9
61.7Power53.9
2.38xG1.76
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