Sparta Katowicevs
Zaglebie Sosnowiec
SCHEDULEDPoland · III Liga - Group 3 · 8/29/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sparta Katowice · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Sparta Katowice are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Zaglebie Sosnowiec are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLDDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Zaglebie Sosnowiec hold a 15.0-point power-rating edge (53.0 v 68.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.8% in the III Liga - Group 3, while Sparta Katowice holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Sparta Katowice
Probability
37.1%
Model confidence
13.8%
Sparta Katowice has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 4 · avg 2.60/0.80
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20