GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 3 · 8/22/2026, 10:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Sparta Katowice · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Sparta Katowice are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Ślęza Wrocław are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 3.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Sparta Katowice hold a 36.7-point power-rating edge (53.0 v 16.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.4% in the III Liga - Group 3, while Sparta Katowice holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Sparta Katowice

Probability

55.6%

Model confidence

11.4%

Sparta Katowice has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sparta KatowiceWLWWW

GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Ślęza WrocławLLLWW

GF 8 · GA 16 · avg 1.60/3.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Sparta KatowiceŚlęza Wrocław
33.3Attack33.3
66.7Defence0.0
50.0Form0.0
53.0Power16.3
1.95xG1.09
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