Sparta Brnovs
Velké Meziříčí
COMPLETEDCzech-Republic · 4. liga - Divizie D · 10/17/2026, 8:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sparta Brno · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Sparta Brno 5-1 Velké Meziříčí
Original prediction
Sparta Brno
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 9 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.44 | 62.7% | 49.0% | -13.7 pts |
| Draw | 4.31 | 21.0% | 24.0% | 3.1 pts |
| Away | 5.54 | 16.3% | 26.9% | 10.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.44 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-13.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–27%
Predicted outcome
Sparta Brno
Probability
49.0%
Model confidence
49.0%
Sparta Brno has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 7 · avg 2.40/1.40
GF 6 · GA 15 · avg 1.20/3.00