Sparta Brnovs
Baník Ostrava
COMPLETEDCzech-Republic · Cup · 8/26/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Baník Ostrava · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Sparta Brno 0-9 Baník Ostrava
Original prediction
Baník Ostrava
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:47 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 19.20 | 4.8% | 33.4% | 28.6 pts |
| Draw | 8.76 | 10.4% | 22.2% | 11.7 pts |
| Away | 1.08 | 84.8% | 44.5% | -40.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.08 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-40.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–27%
Predicted outcome
Baník Ostrava
Probability
44.5%
Model confidence
44.5%
Baník Ostrava has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80