Sparta Brnovs
Baník Ostrava
SCHEDULEDCzech-Republic · Cup · 8/26/2026, 3:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sparta Brno · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Sparta Brno are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Baník Ostrava are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Sparta Brno hold a 21.8-point power-rating edge (86.5 v 64.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.1% in the Cup, while Sparta Brno holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Sparta Brno
Probability
42.1%
Model confidence
42.1%
Sparta Brno has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80