Spakenburgvs
Sparta Rotterdam II
COMPLETEDNetherlands · Tweede Divisie · 9/19/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Spakenburg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (9%), 2-1 (9%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Spakenburg 1-1 Sparta Rotterdam II
Original prediction
Spakenburg
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.50 | 59.9% | 50.1% | -9.8 pts |
| Draw | 4.70 | 19.2% | 21.9% | 2.7 pts |
| Away | 4.31 | 20.9% | 28.0% | 7.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.70 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-9.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–19%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Spakenburg
Probability
50.1%
Model confidence
50.1%
Spakenburg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00
GF 17 · GA 11 · avg 3.40/2.20