GGOALVIO

Netherlands · Tweede Divisie · 8/26/2023, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Spakenburg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Spakenburg are 1W-0D-0L in their last 1 (W), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Rijnsburgse Boys are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (WL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 3 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Spakenburg hold a 73.3-point power-rating edge (80.3 v 7.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 55.8% in the Tweede Divisie, while Spakenburg holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Spakenburg

Probability

55.8%

Model confidence

55.8%

Spakenburg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

SpakenburgW

GF 2 · GA 1 · avg 2.00/1.00

BTTS 1/1O2.5 1/1
Rijnsburgse BoysWL

GF 2 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 1/2O2.5 1/2
SpakenburgRijnsburgse Boys
33.3Attack0.0
100.0Defence0.0
100.0Form0.0
80.3Power7.0
2.18xG1.20
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