Spakenburgvs
Quick Boys
COMPLETEDNetherlands · Tweede Divisie · 10/17/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Quick Boys · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-2 (12%), 0-3 (11%), 1-2 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Spakenburg 1-1 Quick Boys
Original prediction
Quick Boys
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 21 September 2026 at 08:53 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.17 | 28.4% | 14.2% | -14.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.60 | 25.0% | 17.3% | -7.7 pts |
| Away | 1.93 | 46.6% | 68.5% | 21.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.60 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
21.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–212%
- 2.0–311%
- 3.1–29%
Predicted outcome
Quick Boys
Probability
68.5%
Model confidence
68.5%
Quick Boys has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20
GF 15 · GA 6 · avg 3.00/1.20