Spakenburgvs
Barendrecht
COMPLETEDNetherlands · Tweede Divisie · 9/5/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Spakenburg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Spakenburg 1-3 Barendrecht
Original prediction
Spakenburg
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:16 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.39 | 65.2% | 54.1% | -11.2 pts |
| Draw | 4.98 | 18.2% | 23.3% | 5.1 pts |
| Away | 5.48 | 16.6% | 22.6% | 6.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-11.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–09%
Predicted outcome
Spakenburg
Probability
54.1%
Model confidence
54.1%
Spakenburg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
GF 6 · GA 13 · avg 1.20/2.60