Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Spain · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction details
Prediction record created 16 October 2026 at 04:47 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Spain
Probability
36.3%
Model confidence
36.3%
Spain has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
SpainWWWWW
GF 15 · GA 6 · avg 3.00/1.20
BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
EnglandWWWLW
GF 17 · GA 3 · avg 3.40/0.60
BTTS 1/5O2.5 4/5
SpainEngland
100.0Attack100.0
58.3Defence75.0
100.0Form75.0
87.9Power78.0
1.47xG1.36