Spain U21vs
Romania U21
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification · 10/6/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Spain U21 · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Spain U21 1-0 Romania U21, with an exact score probability of 15%.
Prediction record
Final result
Spain U21 7-1 Romania U21
Original prediction
Spain U21
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 9 September 2026 at 18:36 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.05 | 88.2% | 69.2% | -19.0 pts |
| Draw | 10.77 | 8.6% | 19.1% | 10.5 pts |
| Away | 28.67 | 3.2% | 11.7% | 8.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.05 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-19.0 pts
Projected Score
Spain U21 1–0 Romania U21
Exact score probability: 15%
Predicted outcome
Spain U21
Probability
69.2%
Model confidence
69.2%
Spain U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 25 · GA 2 · avg 5.00/0.40
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80