Spain U19 Wvs
Sweden U19 W
COMPLETEDWorld · Friendlies Women · 10/13/2026, 9:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Spain U19 W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (10%), 1-1 (9%), 2-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Spain U19 W 5-1 Sweden U19 W
Original prediction
Spain U19 W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 12 October 2026 at 14:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.09 | 82.7% | 55.5% | -27.3 pts |
| Draw | 7.79 | 11.6% | 23.3% | 11.7 pts |
| Away | 15.88 | 5.7% | 21.3% | 15.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.09 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-27.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–110%
- 2.1–19%
- 3.2–09%
Predicted outcome
Spain U19 W
Probability
55.5%
Model confidence
55.5%
Spain U19 W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60