GGOALVIO

Georgia · Erovnuli Liga 2 · 3/11/2023, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Spaeri · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Spaeri are 1W-1D-1L in their last 3 (WLD), averaging 1.67 scored and 1.33 conceded, while Kolkheti Khobi are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDLWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 3.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 8 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Spaeri hold a 24.6-point power-rating edge (50.3 v 25.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 75.3% in the Erovnuli Liga 2, while Spaeri holds the strongest overall chance at 75% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Spaeri

Probability

75.3%

Model confidence

75.3%

Spaeri has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

SpaeriWLD

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.67/1.33

BTTS 2/3O2.5 2/3
Kolkheti KhobiDDLWL

GF 6 · GA 17 · avg 1.20/3.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
SpaeriKolkheti Khobi
46.3Attack27.8
56.5Defence21.3
47.2Form18.5
50.3Power25.7
2.52xG0.62
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