GGOALVIO

England · National League - North · 8/5/2023, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Warrington Town · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Southport are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLD), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Warrington Town are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Warrington Town hold a 19.0-point power-rating edge (31.3 v 50.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.4% in the National League - North, while Warrington Town holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 47% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Warrington Town

Probability

38.4%

Model confidence

38.4%

Warrington Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

SouthportWDWLD

GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Warrington TownWWLWL

GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
SouthportWarrington Town
33.3Attack46.4
33.3Defence56.5
16.7Form46.4
31.3Power50.4
1.18xG1.39
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