GGOALVIO

Hong-Kong · Premier League · 10/3/2023, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Southern District · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 4-0

Highconfidence

Southern District are 2W-0D-0L in their last 2 (WW), averaging 4.00 scored and 0.50 conceded, while Resources Capital are 0W-2D-1L in their last 3 (DLD), averaging 0.67 scored and 1.33 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 5 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Southern District hold a 42.3-point power-rating edge (60.8 v 18.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 91.5% in the Premier League, while Southern District holds the strongest overall chance at 91% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 77% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Southern District

Probability

91.5%

Model confidence

91.5%

Southern District has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Southern DistrictWW

GF 8 · GA 1 · avg 4.00/0.50

BTTS 1/2O2.5 2/2
Resources CapitalDLD

GF 2 · GA 4 · avg 0.67/1.33

BTTS 2/3O2.5 1/3
Southern DistrictResources Capital
61.7Attack21.7
68.3Defence8.3
56.7Form11.7
60.8Power18.5
4.01xG0.46
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