Southern Districtvs
Kowloon City
COMPLETEDHong-Kong · Premier League · 8/29/2026, 8:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Southern District · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (9%), 1-1 (8%), 3-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Southern District 2-1 Kowloon City
Original prediction
Southern District
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:53 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.67 | 54.0% | 50.8% | -3.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.86 | 23.4% | 24.2% | 0.8 pts |
| Away | 4.00 | 22.6% | 25.0% | 2.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.67 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–19%
- 2.1–18%
- 3.3–18%
Predicted outcome
Southern District
Probability
50.8%
Model confidence
50.8%
Southern District has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 9 · avg 2.60/1.80
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80