GGOALVIO

Hong-Kong · Premier League · 8/22/2026, 8:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Southern District · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 3-0

Highconfidence

Southern District are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWWLL), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Hong Kong FC are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Southern District hold a 32.0-point power-rating edge (60.8 v 28.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 15.6% in the Premier League, while Southern District holds the strongest overall chance at 90% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 37% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Southern District

Probability

89.6%

Model confidence

15.6%

Southern District has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Southern DistrictDWWLL

GF 11 · GA 9 · avg 2.20/1.80

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Hong Kong FCDWLWL

GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Southern DistrictHong Kong FC
61.7Attack28.3
68.3Defence20.0
56.7Form30.0
60.8Power28.8
3.55xG0.48
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