Southern Districtvs
Hong Kong FC
SCHEDULEDHong-Kong · Premier League · 8/22/2026, 8:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Southern District · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 3-0
Southern District are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWWLL), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Hong Kong FC are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Southern District hold a 32.0-point power-rating edge (60.8 v 28.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 15.6% in the Premier League, while Southern District holds the strongest overall chance at 90% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 37% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Southern District
Probability
89.6%
Model confidence
15.6%
Southern District has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 9 · avg 2.20/1.80
GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40