GGOALVIO

Hong-Kong · Premier League · 8/26/2023, 8:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Southern District · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 4-0

Highconfidence

Southern District are 1W-0D-0L in their last 1 (W), averaging 4.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while HK U23 are 0W-0D-1L in their last 1 (L), averaging 0.00 scored and 3.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 2 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Southern District hold a 44.6-point power-rating edge (60.8 v 16.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 91.5% in the Premier League, while Southern District holds the strongest overall chance at 92% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 78% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Southern District

Probability

91.5%

Model confidence

91.5%

Southern District has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Southern DistrictW

GF 4 · GA 1 · avg 4.00/1.00

BTTS 1/1O2.5 1/1
HK U23L

GF 0 · GA 3 · avg 0.00/3.00

BTTS 0/1O2.5 1/1
Southern DistrictHK U23
61.7Attack20.0
68.3Defence0.0
56.7Form15.0
60.8Power16.2
4.02xG0.46
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