Southern Districtvs
Eastern District
COMPLETEDHong-Kong · Senior Shield · 9/20/2026, 8:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Southern District · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (9%), 1-1 (8%), 3-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Southern District 2-1 Eastern District
Original prediction
Southern District
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.83 | 49.2% | 48.1% | -1.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.66 | 24.6% | 24.7% | 0.1 pts |
| Away | 3.43 | 26.2% | 27.2% | 0.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.83 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–19%
- 2.1–18%
- 3.3–18%
Predicted outcome
Southern District
Probability
48.1%
Model confidence
48.1%
Southern District has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 9 · avg 2.40/1.80
GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00