Southern Districtvs
Eastern District
COMPLETEDHong-Kong · Premier League · 10/11/2026, 8:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Southern District · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (9%), 1-1 (8%), 3-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Southern District 3-0 Eastern District
Original prediction
Southern District
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 15 September 2026 at 19:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.27 | 40.0% | 46.0% | 6.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.50 | 25.9% | 24.1% | -1.8 pts |
| Away | 2.66 | 34.1% | 29.9% | -4.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.27 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–19%
- 2.1–18%
- 3.3–17%
Predicted outcome
Southern District
Probability
46.0%
Model confidence
46.0%
Southern District has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80
GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00