Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Southend · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Southend are 2W-0D-1L in their last 3 (WWL), averaging 2.33 scored and 2.67 conceded, while Oldham are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLDWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 8 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Southend hold a 7.3-point power-rating edge (57.8 v 50.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.8% in the National League, while Southend holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 39% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Southend
Probability
48.8%
Model confidence
48.8%
Southend has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 2.33/2.67
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80