Southendvs
Kidderminster Harriers
SCHEDULEDEngland · National League · 8/28/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Southend · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Southend are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWDLD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Kidderminster Harriers are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Southend hold a 15.4-point power-rating edge (57.8 v 42.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 19.5% in the National League, while Southend holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 31% BTTS chance and 31% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Southend
Probability
60.3%
Model confidence
19.5%
Southend has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20
GF 12 · GA 3 · avg 2.40/0.60