Southendvs
FC Halifax Town
COMPLETEDEngland · National League · 10/24/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Southend · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Southend 2-2 FC Halifax Town
Original prediction
Southend
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 10 October 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.65 | 55.7% | 56.1% | 0.4 pts |
| Draw | 4.08 | 22.6% | 20.3% | -2.2 pts |
| Away | 4.23 | 21.8% | 23.6% | 1.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.08 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–07%
Predicted outcome
Southend
Probability
56.1%
Model confidence
56.1%
Southend has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80
GF 14 · GA 6 · avg 2.80/1.20