Southampton Wvs
Nottingham Forest W
COMPLETEDEngland · Women's Championship · 9/27/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Southampton W · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (10%), 0-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Southampton W 1-1 Nottingham Forest W
Original prediction
Southampton W
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 31 August 2026 at 20:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.34 | 38.4% | 37.2% | -1.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.29 | 27.3% | 29.3% | 2.1 pts |
| Away | 2.61 | 34.4% | 33.5% | -0.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.29 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.0–09%
Predicted outcome
Southampton W
Probability
37.2%
Model confidence
37.2%
Southampton W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80